Kalshi and Polymarket Target $20 Billion Valuations

GM. Kalshi and Polymarket are seeking new capital at $20 billion valuations each, aiming to solidify a duopoly in prediction markets following record monthly volumes.

Meanwhile, Florida passed a landmark state-level stablecoin bill, the SEC dismissed charges against Justin Sun, and Curve Finance issued a licensing warning to PancakeSwap.

Here are the details on the top crypto stories to start the week. 👇

Kalshi and Polymarket Target $20 Billion Valuations

Industry leaders Kalshi and Polymarket are seeking new capital at individual valuations reaching $20 billion to cement their dominance in the binary contract sector. These preliminary discussions suggest investors view the burgeoning marketplace as a lucrative duopoly.

The massive fundraising efforts emerged on 7 March 2026 across major financial outlets following a record $18.3 billion in combined trading volume last month. This capital push occurs as the platforms achieve high annualized revenue run rates.

Management initiated these specific rounds because they seek to scale operations before competitors like Coinbase and DraftKings fully saturate the market. By doubling their previous valuations, both firms aim to secure resources for upcoming regulatory transitions.

Executives will achieve these targets by proving that prediction markets function as essential financial infrastructure rather than unregulated gambling venues. Consequently, these companies must navigate intensifying federal legislation designed to restrict controversial contracts on war and sports.

Florida Passes First State Level Stablecoin Regulatory Bill

The Florida legislature officially passed a landmark bill to establish a state regulatory framework for stablecoins. Senate Bill 314 provides specific consumer protections and financial stability guidelines that align with the federal standards of the GENIUS Act. Governor Ron DeSantis is expected to sign the measure into law within the next thirty days to protect local investors.

The new law revises state money laundering acts to prohibit any unlicensed issuance of digital payment assets within Florida. It specifically clarifies that certain qualified stablecoins are not securities and fall under the supervision of the Office of Financial Regulation. Lawmakers also approved a companion bill to protect the trade secrets of virtual currency businesses operating throughout the state.

SEC Dismisses Longstanding Charges Against Justin Sun

The US Securities and Exchange Commission dismissed all charges against Tron founder Justin Sun and his related foundations. While the primary allegations of fraud and unregistered securities sales were dropped, the developer Rainberry agreed to pay a $10 million penalty. This resolution brings closure to a 2023 legal battle that centered on the historical marketing of TRX and BTT tokens.

Sun expressed his satisfaction with the court's decision and pledged to continue accelerating blockchain innovation within the US market. The settlement was reached without the defendants admitting or denying the original claims regarding deceptive market practices or celebrity promotions. This dismissal follows a broader trend of the agency dropping numerous crypto-related enforcement actions over the past several months.

Curve Finance Issues Licensing Warning To PancakeSwap

The Curve Finance team publicly accused the PancakeSwap exchange this week of using proprietary code without a proper license. The dispute involves the StableSwap feature which is currently utilized for trading tightly-pegged assets on the new PancakeSwap Infinity platform. Curve warned that integrating such complex swap features without official collaboration could lead to legal problems and potential security exploits.

PancakeSwap representatives responded by stating they would reach out to discuss a formal partnership to resolve the licensing concerns. Curve previously noted that improper code implementation contributed to massive hacks exceeding $116 million in other decentralized finance protocols. Both teams are now seeking to build together to ensure the safety of liquidity providers and millions of global users.

Data of the Day

The tokenized commodities sector grew 10% over the past month to reach a total market capitalization of $7.69 billion. Investors are increasingly seeking safe-haven exposure to gold and silver through crypto-native platforms that offer 24/7 trading availability. This growth highlights how real-world assets are becoming a primary driver of activity.

Tether Gold and Paxos Gold currently dominate the market with a combined total of over $5.5 billion in onchain assets. Analysts noted that daily trading volumes fo gold-backed crypto reached roughly $7.5 billion during the recent height of global trade uncertainty. These blockchain-based versions of traditional commodities allow for automated collateral management and more flexible cross-border transfers for institutional traders.

Tokenized Commodities Market Caps Surge Past $7 Billion

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Written by 

Datawallet Team

Research

Datawallet is an independent crypto research platform covering digital assets, blockchain data and on-chain analytics since 2019. Our research is cited by Binance, CoinMarketCap, Messari and leading academic publications.